Better Price System
Better Price System is designed to locate a better value betting
proposition of a racing day, i.e. a better priced horse with a realistic
chance of winning.
We will look at Handicap races which are more open than other kinds
of races and where winners and placed horses tend to start at bigger
odds. The difficulty is to locate viable bets at longer prices when the
basis of a good system must be form used in one way or another.
survey over a three-year period demonstrated that class counts in racing
and that in flat handicaps horses near the top of the handicap hold the
best chance of winning.
The survey showed that 48% of the winners of all flat handicaps are one
of the top tour in the weights and over 60% come from the top 6 in the
handicap so whilst runners can and do come from lower down in the
handicap, statistically they are most likely to stem from the group
which heads the weights.
As for form without which no system can hope to succeed many horses with
sound form in recent runs do perform well even though the market might
give them only a slender chance of success. Any horse good enough to
reach the first four in each of its last three races must have some
chance of reaching a place again and may even win, despite what chance
the odds compilers or the Bookmakers give them.
First of all it is necessary to analyse each handicap on the dayâ€™s cards
from the point of view of weight. This is done by applying a sliding
scale based on the number of runners in a race.
Handicaps of 10 or less runners are ignored as are races of
15 or more runners consider the first six in the weights.
13 or 14 runners consider the first 5 in the weights.
11 or 12
runners -consider the first four in the weights.
Then pick out any horses that have run third or fourth in each of
their last three outings, which figured in the above specified weight
range and they are your selections.
Some days you will have more than one and if you prefer to just back
one horse each day then select the one with the biggest forecast odds.
This runner qualifies for at least one system in our historical betting systems books and full details of all books it meet the requirements for can be found in the members area.