
Better Price System is designed to locate a better value betting proposition of a racing
day, i.e. a better priced horse with a realistic chance of winning.
We will look at Handicap races which are more open than
other kinds of races and where winners and placed horses tend to start at bigger
odds. The difficulty is to locate viable bets at longer prices when the basis of
a good system must be form used in one way or another.
A survey over a three-year period demonstrated that class
counts in racing and that in flat handicaps horses near the top of the handicap
hold the best chance of winning.
The survey showed that 48% of the winners of all flat
handicaps are one of the top tour in the weights and over 60% come from the top
6 in the handicap so whilst runners can and do come from lower down in the
handicap, statistically they are most likely to stem from the group which heads
the weights.
As for form without which no system can hope to succeed
many horses with sound form in recent runs do perform well even though the
market might give them only a slender chance of success. Any horse good enough
to reach the first four in each of its last three races must have some chance of
reaching a place again and may even win, despite what chance the odds compilers
or the Bookmakers give them.
First of all it is necessary to analyse each handicap on
the day’s cards from the point of view of weight. This is done by applying a
sliding scale based on the number of runners in a race.
Handicaps of ten or less runners are ignored as are races of 17 or
over.
15 or more runners consider the first six in the
weights.
13 or 14 runners consider the first 5 in the weights.
11 or 12 runners -consider the first four in the
weights.
Then pick out any horses that have run third or fourth in
each of their last three outings, which figured in the above specified weight
range and they are your selections. Some days you will have more than one and if
you prefer to just back one horse each day then select the one with the biggest
forecast odds.