Friday 2nd October 2010
Kingdom Of Bahrain Sun Chariot Stakes - Newmarket
(Group 1)
Kingdom
Of Bahrain Sun Chariot Stakes is a 3yo+ race for
fillies or mares and is run over a distance of one
mile at Newmarket. There are eleven set to race and
the current going is described as soft, off time is
3pm.
Looking back over the last ten years I can see that
all the eventual winners had finished in the first
four on their previous outing. As for the draw,
there does appear to be a bias towards high drawn
horses.
Favourites seem to have a good record although most
appear to fill the placing rather than win. If we
look at the age of the runners we see that while
3yos win the most it’s the older ones which fill the
placings, so could be some good each way bets
around.
|
RaceDate |
02/10/10 |
|
Racecourse |
NEWMARKET |
|
Time |
3-00 |
|
Going |
Soft |
|
Distance |
1 Mile |
|
RaceTitle |
Kingdom of Bahrain Sun Chariot
Stakes (Group 1) (Class 1) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
_H_ |
_S_ |
_T_ |
_J_ |
_C_ |
| 141144 |
Strawberrydaiquiri |
09-02 |
Sir Michael Stoute |
Ryan Moore |
97 |
92.5 |
94.2 |
94 |
94.3 |
| 421301 |
Sahpresa |
09-02 |
Rod Collet |
Christophe Soumillon |
98 |
93.4 |
96.6 |
96 |
94.2 |
| 130111 |
Seta |
08-13 |
L M Cumani |
Kieren Fallon |
98 |
93.6 |
93.4 |
93.3 |
93.1 |
| 214310 |
Alsace Lorraine |
09-02 |
J R Fanshawe |
William Buick |
92 |
91.9 |
93.2 |
92.1 |
93 |
| 144000 |
Sent From Heaven |
08-13 |
B W Hills |
Michael Hills |
94 |
91.4 |
93.7 |
93.1 |
93 |
| 034123 |
Music Show |
08-13 |
M R Channon |
Richard Hughes |
100 |
91.6 |
92.6 |
92.8 |
92.7 |
| 033222 |
Spacious |
09-02 |
J R Fanshawe |
J Murtagh |
97 |
91 |
93.2 |
93.6 |
92.6 |
| 11100 |
Aviate |
08-13 |
H R A Cecil |
Tom Queally |
95 |
92.4 |
93 |
90.8 |
92.5 |
| 213001 |
Rainfall |
08-13 |
M Johnston |
Frankie Dettori |
98 |
93.5 |
91.5 |
94.2 |
92.3 |
| 010000 |
Lahaleeb |
09-02 |
P W D'Arcy |
John Egan |
96 |
92.2 |
90.8 |
91.5 |
91.8 |
| 010314 |
Hen Night |
08-13 |
David Wachman |
W M Lordan |
93 |
92.1 |
91.5 |
89.7 |
91.5 |
Alsace Lorraine is a 5yo mare who has run in
fourteen races and win five of them with the last
being at Salisbury in a one mile two furlong listed
race. Has raced in two group races but never got any
closer than four lengths of the winner. However, did
manage to beat Sahpresa in a group two race at Royal
Ascot last June.
Lahaleeb has run in twenty races winning five and is
a 4yo filly who generally runs in these type of
races and has three group wins to her name. On the
negative side is she has never finished in front of
any of today’s runners having been beaten by the
likes of Music Show, Rainfall, Sapresa, Spacious and
Stawberrydaiquiri.
Sahpresa is a 5yo mare who has raced in ten races
and winning four of them, all wins are either group
or listed class. Won this last year by one and a
half lengths beating both Spacious and
Strawberrydaiquiri in the process, both of these
reappear again today.
Spacious has raced sixteen times and won four of
them, two of these were group two events. Is another
5yo mare and has run in eight group one races but
never managed to win but has finished in front of
the likes of Alsace Lorraine, Hen Night, Lahaleeb,
Music Show, Rainfall, Sahpresa and
Strawberrydaiquiri.
Strawberrydaiquiri is a 4yo filly who has competed
in ten races and won four of them in the process.
These wins were in group and listed company but has
had three attempts at groups one races but not got
closer than three lengths. Does have the beating of
Alsace Lorraine, Lahallb, Sahpresa and Spacious)
Aviate who has won three of her five races and is a
3yo filly trained by H R A Cecil. Won a the group
three Musidora Stakes at York back in May but was
well beaten in the group one Oaks at Epsom in June.
Did finish in front of Alsace Lorraine last month in
a group two race at the Curragh in Ireland.
Hen Night is another 3yo filly and has won three of
her nine races in Ireland. Ran well in a group three
race at Leopardstown in May but was beaten by nearly
five lengths when returning there last month for a
group one race. On that occasion finished behind
both Music Show and Spacious.
Music Show has five wins from eleven races and is a
3yo filly who has ran the majority of her races in
group company, three of these were wins. Has managed
to get the upper hand of most of these running here
today including, Hen Night, Lahaleeb, Rainfall, Sent
From Heaven, Seat, Spacious and Strawberrydaiquiri.
Rainfall has won both a listed and group three race
including the group three Jersey Stakes at Royal
Ascot last summer, latest success was also at Ascot
in a listed event. Rainfull finished in front of
both Lahaleeb and Strawberrydaiquiri at Newmarket in
a group one event.
Sent From Heaven is a 3yo bay filly trained by B W
Hills and go to within a length of the winner in the
1000 Guineas at Newmarket last May. Raced in a
listed race at Doncaster last month but never really
got into it but does have the beating of both Music
Show and Seta.
Seta is a 3yo filly who has won four of her six
races, although none of these have been in group
company. With forecast odds of around 11/2 this does
look a little short considering the fact that she has never beaten
any of these.
Extra Information
To help you find that extra nugget
of information that will lead you to pin pointing
potential winners we have included the table below.
This table shows how all horses have performed at
the course over the last six months when they held
that position in the ratings and includes, runs,
wins, strike rate, R.O.I., profit and Betfair
profit.
Horses can appear more than once
and in this case it would a good idea to implement
some kind of averaging. You may have noticed that
some horses have the word ‘None’ next to it, this
simply means that it is not rated in either the top
or bottom three.
|
Horse Name |
Racecourse & Ratings Type |
Runs |
Wins |
SR |
ROI |
Profit |
Betfair |
| Alsace Lorraine (IRE) |
Newmarket - Bottom Horse
Ratings |
193 |
20 |
10.36 |
-19.32 |
-37.29 |
-24.74 |
| Aviate (GB) |
Newmarket - 2nd Bottom
Jockey Ratings |
196 |
12 |
6.12 |
-25.72 |
-50.42 |
-38.06 |
| Hen Night (IRE) |
Newmarket - Bottom Combined
Ratings |
190 |
14 |
7.37 |
-3.75 |
-7.12 |
8.5 |
| Hen Night (IRE) |
Newmarket - 2nd Bottom
Horse Ratings |
194 |
19 |
9.79 |
-12.4 |
-24.05 |
-10.09 |
| Hen Night (IRE) |
Newmarket - Bottom Jockey
Ratings |
188 |
10 |
5.32 |
-29.39 |
-55.25 |
-43.9 |
| Hen Night (IRE) |
Newmarket - 3rd Bottom
Trainer Ratings |
193 |
14 |
7.25 |
-36.81 |
-71.05 |
-61.06 |
| Lahaleeb (IRE) |
Newmarket - 2nd Bottom
Combined Ratings |
193 |
13 |
6.74 |
4.99 |
9.63 |
27.17 |
| Lahaleeb (IRE) |
Newmarket - 3rd Bottom
Jockey Ratings |
195 |
12 |
6.15 |
-52.69 |
-102.74 |
-95.32 |
| Lahaleeb (IRE) |
Newmarket - Bottom Trainer
Ratings |
189 |
13 |
6.88 |
-42.15 |
-79.67 |
-70.76 |
| Music Show (IRE) |
Newmarket - Top Horse
Ratings |
198 |
25 |
12.63 |
-32.28 |
-63.91 |
-53.82 |
| Music Show (IRE) |
Newmarket - 3rd Bottom Sire
Ratings |
194 |
22 |
11.34 |
-5.56 |
-10.79 |
4.12 |
| Rainfall (IRE) |
Newmarket - 3rd Bottom
Combined Ratings |
192 |
14 |
7.29 |
-41.93 |
-80.5 |
-71.48 |
| Rainfall (IRE) |
Newmarket - 2nd Top Jockey
Ratings |
207 |
26 |
12.56 |
-25.99 |
-53.79 |
-42.02 |
| Rainfall (IRE) |
Newmarket - 2nd Bottom
Trainer Ratings |
186 |
11 |
5.91 |
-32.39 |
-60.24 |
-49.62 |
| Rainfall (IRE) |
Newmarket - 2nd Top Sire
Ratings |
192 |
26 |
13.54 |
-27.99 |
-53.74 |
-43.36 |
| Sahpresa (USA) |
Newmarket - 2nd Top
Combined Ratings |
200 |
33 |
16.5 |
3.62 |
7.23 |
23.35 |
| Sahpresa (USA) |
Newmarket - 3rd Top Horse
Ratings |
194 |
27 |
13.92 |
-11.9 |
-23.08 |
-9.77 |
| Sahpresa (USA) |
Newmarket - Top Jockey
Ratings |
206 |
33 |
16.02 |
9.09 |
18.73 |
36.47 |
| Sahpresa (USA) |
Newmarket - Top Trainer
Ratings |
205 |
30 |
14.63 |
-19.09 |
-39.13 |
-26.56 |
| Sahpresa (USA) |
Newmarket - 3rd Top Sire
Ratings |
201 |
29 |
14.43 |
2.13 |
4.29 |
20.6 |
| Sent From Heaven (IRE) |
Newmarket - 3rd Bottom
Horse Ratings |
194 |
17 |
8.76 |
-30.5 |
-59.17 |
-48.27 |
| Sent From Heaven (IRE) |
Newmarket - 3rd Top Trainer
Ratings |
204 |
31 |
15.2 |
-13.62 |
-27.79 |
-14.36 |
| Sent From Heaven (IRE) |
Newmarket - 2nd Bottom Sire
Ratings |
202 |
15 |
7.43 |
-22.52 |
-45.5 |
-32.41 |
| Seta (GB) |
Newmarket - 3rd Top
Combined Ratings |
197 |
25 |
12.69 |
-47.43 |
-93.43 |
-86.16 |
| Seta (GB) |
Newmarket - 2nd Top Horse
Ratings |
193 |
32 |
16.58 |
4.03 |
7.78 |
23.39 |
| Seta (GB) |
Newmarket - Top Sire
Ratings |
200 |
29 |
14.5 |
-6.54 |
-13.07 |
1.54 |
| Spacious (GB) |
Newmarket - Bottom Sire
Ratings |
194 |
8 |
4.12 |
-41.62 |
-80.75 |
-71.01 |
| Strawberrydaiquiri (GB) |
Newmarket - Top Combined
Ratings |
202 |
39 |
19.31 |
27.93 |
56.41 |
76.71 |
| Strawberrydaiquiri (GB) |
Newmarket - 3rd Top Jockey
Ratings |
201 |
36 |
17.91 |
-7.12 |
-14.32 |
-0.38 |
| Strawberrydaiquiri (GB) |
Newmarket - 2nd Top Trainer
Ratings |
201 |
27 |
13.43 |
3.87 |
7.78 |
24.59 |
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