Over the years I have been asked which is the
best way of using the Jadwiz Racing ratings and thought it was about
time to have a look at the results for the period 2008 to 2017.
get a good feeling of how things have been going I used the top three
rated with our horse ratings and assumed each one of these was backed,
providing it was not a non-runner.
This was done for each UK racecourse and split into four groups, flat
handicap races, flat non-handicap races, jump handicap races and jump
non-handicap racing events.
Once I had done this I found the average strike rate, average profit
and average ROI for each group and compared this to the figures for each
On this page we will be looking and concentrating on jump
non-handicap races but you can use the links at the bottom of the page
to view results for the other three groups and there is an Excel file
which you can download if you like.
Jump Non-Handicap Strike Rates
To start with the only courses I was interested in were the ones with
better strike rates than the average and the racecourse list is shown
Ayr, Carlisle, Cartmel, Exeter, Fakenham, Fontwell, Hexham,
Kempton, Lingfield, Perth, Plumpton, Sandown and Sedgefield.
Jump Non-Handicap Profit
So we have a list of courses which have a better than average strike
rate and with this next stage I was looking for courses which produced a
below average loss or made a profit since 2008 when backing the top
three rated, list below.
Aintree, Ascot, Ayr, Bangor, Carlisle, Cartmel, Catterick,
Cheltenham, Doncaster, Exeter, Fakenham, Ffos Las, Fontwell, Haydock,
Leicester, Lingfield, Musselburgh, Newcastle, Newton Abbot, Perth,
Plumpton, Sandown and Warwick.
Jump Non-Handicap ROI
You can see that there are a number which have done better than
average in the strike rate and profit department area but just to make
sure lets look at each of their ROI and see which courses the ratings
have performed better than standard.
Aintree, Ayr, Bangor, Carlisle, Cartmel, Cheltenham, Doncaster,
Exeter, Fakenham, Fontwell, Lingfield, Newcastle, Newton Abbot, Perth,
Plumpton, Sandown, Stratford, Warwick and Worcester.
So what do we know are there any racecourses which have a better than
average strike rate, profit and ROI, well the answer is yes and the
racecourse list is shown below.
Ayr, Carlisle, Cartmel, Exeter, Fakenham, Fontwell, Lingfield,
Perth, Plumpton and Sandown.
But can we make a nice profit from backing the top three rated in
jump non-handicap races at these courses, well I would not recommend
backing all of the runners blindly which are in the top three with our
However what could be a good idea would be to check the odds on offer
for any of these top three rated in jump non-handicap races running at
the above courses and make sure that they are in the first three of the
By doing this we would most likely end up with just one runner in a
race which we could back, after all the top three in the betting should
in theory have the best chance.
Download Excel File Click Here