Jadwiz Newsletter - March 2013
Doncaster Lincoln Meeting Winners
With the Doncaster Lincoln this
Saturday I have been looking for an easy way of
finding winning selections and over the last five
years this has not been that difficult.
There has been a simply but
effective method of backing the top three rated with
our main set of ratings which are the combined,
backing the top three may not seem a good idea but
with this meeting it has clearly worked.
May guess would be that there are
large fields with good prices on offer due to it
being very early in the season and conflicting
stories coming out of the training yards.
This method has produced some very
good results over the years and the images below
shows that while the strike rate is not high the
return has been very consistent
That's it for this newsletter a
very quick and easy way of pin pointing winners at
this Easter weekends meeting at Doncaster.
Top Rated Record Last Twelve Month
The strike rates below show how
each set of ratings have performed over the last
twelve months when a runner has been either top, 2nd
or 3rd rated in that category.
The first race category says 'Race
Class' and if we follow that row along to the
combined ratings column we might see a strike rate
of 16%, this would mean that over the last twelve
months when a runner has been top rated with the
combined ratings in today's class of race a 16%
strike rate has been recorded.
The bottom row shows the average
strike rate for that column and in brackets is the
overall strike rate for that set of ratings based on
data over the last few years.
Using the table marked 2nd top
rated and the horse ratings column we might see
16%(14%) this means that there could be an advantage
because over the last few years there has only been
a strike rate of 14% recorded for runners that where
2nd top rated with the horse ratings but today's
race conditions show a 16% strike rate.
Finding A Runner
So lets assume that the top rated
table shows there is an advantage using the combined
ratings for this race, to find the runner look for
the top rated runner in the column marked _C_ in the
race runners section, top rated runners are always
coloured green. If you are using the 2nd top rated
then you will need to look for the runner with the
2nd highest rating in that column.