Jadwiz Horse Racing Form

Jadwiz Newsletter - November 2012

Best Time For Backing Favourites

Was asked a question about favourites the other day which got me thinking as to when was the best time of the year in which to back them.

So decided that the best place to start would be now, that is November and set the analyse software to look at how top rated favourites have got on since the start of 2008 during the month of November.

After testing for a while I managed to come up with the following which gives us about one or two runners per day and involves backing runners that are in the top three rated in all our ratings which are Combined, Horse, Sire, Trainer and Jockey.

This means it must be in the top three rated in all ratings not just one or two sets of ratings provided that it starts the race as the jolly old favourite and it's a none handicap.

This gave about a 55% strike rate with approximately 1% profit which does not sound much but as I have said before get 9/4 instead of 2/1 and that 1% increases to over 10%.

Not only that but favourites have a habit of getting back right down which means we would get an even bigger profit margin.

You will need to check for these qualifying runners for yourselves as I have not really had time to set things up so that selections appear online.




Todays Form

Valse Au Taillons is a 5yo from the Johnny Farrelly stable who has some average form which means that it good enough to fill one of the places in this 16f ra
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