Jadwiz Horse Racing Form

Jadwiz Newsletter- March 2013

March System Cheltenham Festival

With the Cheltenham Festival taking centre stage during this month the March system is for just this meeting.

As you will no doubt be aware the field sizes at this meeting can be large and fining a system was not that easy but I have come up with one based on the horse ratings.

I started by looking at results of backing the top rated in the horse ratings since the start of 2008 but there was no profit to be had so then looked at how the top three had got on, but it was the same story.

A good filter to try is look at results for either handicap or non-handicap races and by doing this I found there was a profit backing the top three rated in the horse ratings provided it was a handicap race.

So how can we improve this more? Well the one thing we do know is that information can very quickly get passed around very quickly at Cheltenham which means that the odds can shorten which makes it far more difficult to make a profit.

With this in mind I then concentrated my efforts on the first few races for each day and found that by only backing runners which ran before 4pm there was a good profit, results below.

All Results

Runs 47
Wins 6
Strike Rate 13%
ROI 106%
Profit +50

Strike rate is not great but then again as I have said there are large fields but you can get more out of this system by only backing the runner if the trainers form is marked down as below average.

The reason for this I think could be trainers not wanting to send their best horses out before the festival as there could be a chance of injury and therefore only runners which are not quite ready are racing.

Trainer Recent Form Below Average

Runs 27
Wins 6
Strike Rate 22%
ROI 259%
Profit +70

When the Cheltenham Festival gets under way next week you can pick up the qualifying runners by going to the monthly system page and selecting Cheltenham Festival from the drop down list.

Please Note: If you are intending to follow only trainer with below average form then you will need to check the qualifying runners in the form guide to see if the recent trainer form is below average, currently this in not included but will be added hopefully by tomorrow.

 

 

 

Todays Form

AYR 4-05
Doing Fine is a 10yo from the Neil Mulholland stable who has some average form which means that it good enough to fill one of the places in this 31f race whi
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